The Business Case

Sydney's first electric hydrofoil water metro — at zero government capital.

A privately funded, TfNSW-compliant urban transit network for Sydney Harbour. ~$980M in 25-year economic benefits. Complementary to Sydney Ferries.
Operational in 12–18 months.

The opportunity

Sydney has 300+ km of navigable waterways and one of the OECD's longest commute times. The two are not currently connected.

Sydney road congestion was estimated by BITRE at $6.9B for the 2015 financial year, projected to reach $12.6B by 2030. On the same trajectory, the current annual cost is approximately $10–11 billion.[1] Commute times in Sydney are among the longest in the OECD.

Over 100,000 residents live in waterfront communities — Wentworth Point, Rhodes, Sans Souci, Avalon, Mosman, Seaforth — where current road journeys to the CBD take 45 to 90 minutes. The same trips by water can be made in 13 to 45 minutes.Sydney's harbour ferry mode share for harbour-adjacent CBD-bound commuter trips is approximately 7%.[2] The five corridors Water Roads has identified have no existing ferry service.

$10–11B
Sydney road congestion cost
BITRE IS-074 (2015) trajectory, current
100,000+
Residents underserved by waterway transit
Water Roads catchment analysis
45–90 min
Current road journey times to CBD
Across five priority corridors
300+ km
Sydney Harbour navigable waterways
Port Authority of NSW

The solution

Transport as a Service — one contract, zero government capital, deployable in months.

$0 Government Capital Required
$40M
Vessel fleet
$5M
Deep Power e-Wharves
$10M
Operations setup

One contract

Water Roads delivers Transport as a Service. One contract covers zero-emission vessels, route optimisation, ticketing, crew, maintenance, and carbon reporting. The State carries no procurement, no operating, and no asset disposal exposure.

Complementary to Sydney Ferries

Water Roads operates five corridors with no existing ferry service — Wentworth Point/Rhodes, Middle Harbour, Eastern Suburbs, Avalon, Sans Souci. The pilot does not compete with the current Sydney Ferries network or the Transdev operating contract.

Deployable in months

The first Vessev hydrofoil arrives in Sydney in May 2026. The pilot service Wentworth Point/Rhodes to Barangaroo can launch by Q4 2026 — a timeframe Sydney Metro projects measure in decades.

The economic case

Conventional cost-benefit analysis using TfNSW Economic Parameter Values v2025.1 (January 2025) in June 2024 dollars. NSW Treasury Carbon Values (December 2024) for CO₂.

All figures on this page use Transport for NSW's published Economic Parameter Values (EPV v2025.1, January 2025), the TfNSW Cost-Benefit Analysis Guide v5.1 (August 2024), and NSW Treasury target-consistent Carbon Values (Deloitte, December 2024). The pilot benefits decomposition is shown below; the full methodology is published in the accompanying Economic Evidence Note v1.0.

Pilot route — Year 1 annual benefits

Benefit
$M / year
TfNSW source
Travel time savings to mode-shifters
6.19
EPV Table 2.1 (private VTT $20.62/hr)
Vehicle operating cost savings (avoided road VKT)
2.01
EPV Table 3.3 (ATAP Urban Stop-start)
Decongestion benefit to remaining road users
3.66
EPV Table 4.1 (marginal Sydney congestion cost)
Air pollution externality avoided
0.12
EPV Table 6.5
GHG externality avoided (Year 1, rising)
0.21
NSW Treasury Carbon Values 2024
Reliability and other unmonetised (allowance)
~0.50
EPV §11.6
Conventional CBA benefits — subtotal
12.69
Per P&G Section 2.3
Wider Economic Benefits (WB1–WB4, GB1–GB6)
.74
P&G §3.1.7, NWRL 13.7% benchmark [3]
TOTAL — Pilot, Year 1
14.4

All values in June 2024 dollars. Source references in italic right column link to the References section anchors. Full decomposition in the Economic Evidence Note v1.0.

Network at five routes — annual benefits and NPV

Network metric
Value
Notes
Conventional CBA benefits (pilot × 5 routes, conservative scaling)
$63.5M / yr
Straight scale
Wider Economic Benefits at 13.7% mark-up
$8.7M / yr
NWRL benchmark
Network total — annual
$72.2M / yr
As % of Sydney congestion cost (~$10–11B current, BITRE trajectory)
~0.7%
BITRE IS-074 [1]
25-year NPV at 7% real discount, 2% real growth
14.4

At the TfNSW standard 7% real discount rate, the five-route network delivers approximately $980 million in 25-year economic value — all of it derived from parameter values published by TfNSW Economic Advisory.

At the 4% sensitivity discount rate used in TfNSW supplementary analysis, the 25-year NPV is approximately $1.4 billion.

The technology

Electric hydrofoils fly above the water at speed, eliminating hull drag. Deep Power converts existing wharves into e-Wharves without grid upgrades.

Electric hydrofoil — proven technology

Hydrofoil technology lifts the vessel above the water surface at speed, eliminating hull drag and reducing energy consumption by up to 85%. Over a 30-year operational lifetime, the carbon footprint is 97.5% lower than equivalent diesel vessels.[4]

Metric
Conventional diesel fast ferry
Water Roads electric hydrofoil
CO₂ emissions
High (diesel combustion)
Zero at point of use
Energy per pax-km
~36 kWh (baseline, fast ferry)
5 kWh (86% reduction)
PM2.5 / NOx / SOx
Significant
Zero
Wake wash
Substantial
Near zero (foilborne)
Underwater noise
High (engine vibration)
Minimal
Fuel spill risk
Present
Eliminated
30-year carbon footprint
Baseline
97.5% lower (KTH) [4]

Energy comparison is against high-speed diesel fast ferry baseline. Against Sydney Ferries' displacement-hull fleet (RiverCat, Emerald, Freshwater classes), the relative reduction is in the order of 60–70%; Water Roads is complementary to Sydney Ferries, not a replacement.

"The combination of hydrofoils and electric propulsion is the main factor in lowering emissions. This type of vessel has a clear advantage."

— Felix Glaunsinger, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm

Deep Power — converts existing wharves into e-Wharves

Deep Power is an Australian-designed floating modular charging platform. It converts existing wharves into electric-enabled e-Wharves without requiring grid upgrades, operates independently of the city electricity grid, and provides emergency power resilience for waterfront communities. Designed in Australia and manufactured in NSW (Canada Bay initially, then Hunter Region).

95%
Recyclability
25+
Year lifespan
0%
On-site waste

Climate and carbon

The first NSW transport project to apply NSW Treasury's target-consistent carbon values (Deloitte, December 2024) — aligned to the Net Zero Future Act 2023 trajectory.

Under NSW Treasury Policy Paper TPG23-08, the cost of CO₂ emissions must be included in cost-benefit analysis where material to NPV. In December 2024, NSW Treasury adopted target-consistent carbon values modelled by Deloitte, aligned to NSW's legislated emissions targets under the Net Zero Future Act 2023.[5]

Carbon values data table

Year
Low ($/tCO₂-e)
Central ($/tCO₂-e)
High ($/tCO₂-e)
FY25
$90
$130
$230
FY30
$112
$164
$269
FY35
$270
$334
$501
FY50
$250
$350
$700

Source: NSW Treasury Carbon Values (Deloitte, December 2024). Target-consistent values aligned to NSW legislated emissions targets under the Net Zero Future Act 2023.

1,600 tonnes CO₂-e / year

PILOT CARBON ABATEMENT

From modal shift. 25-year NPV at NSW Treasury central case: ~$3.2M.

~8,000 tonnes CO₂-e / year

NETWORK CARBON ABATEMENT

At five-route maturity. 25-year NPV at NSW Treasury central case: ~$16M, rising to ~$2.7M/yr by FY35.

Net Zero Future Act 2023

50% reduction by 2030, 70% by 2035, net zero by 2050.

Future Transport 2056

Innovation in new transport technologies; waterway activation.

NSW Battery Industry Prospectus

Battery integration and pack assembly market segments to 2030.

Sydney's Ferry Future

Waterway activation and modern fleet renewal.

Future Made in Australia

Sovereign manufacturing, technology transfer, regional jobs.

Parramatta River Strategy

Broader waterfront activations enabled by Deep Power.

Wider economic contribution

Beyond the cost-benefit analysis: the broader economic activity, employment, and supply-chain impacts of the network.

The figures below are Economic Impact Assessment outputs derived from ABS input-output multipliers (2018–19 input-output tables). Per Transport for NSW Principles and Guidelines Section 3.1.6, EIA outputs are reported separately from cost-benefit analysis and are not additive to the CBA benefits shown in The Economic Case above. They measure gross direct, indirect and induced economic activity rather than net welfare benefits.

~$112B

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY (25YR)

Direct, indirect, induced (IO multipliers)

~23,000

JOBS SUPPORTED (25YR)

Tourism, construction, manufacturing, operations

550+

REGIONAL MANUFACTURING JOBS

Across three NSW manufacturing sites

$500K

INDIGENOUS PROCUREMENT / YR

Indigenous procurement target

EIA figures are reported separately from the cost-benefit analysis in Section 4 above, per TfNSW Principles and Guidelines Section 3.1.6 — they measure economic activity, not net welfare. The two should not be added together.

Deliverability and risk

Designed as a reversible pilot. The State carries no capex, no operating exposure, and no asset disposal liability.

Comparison table

Metric
Traditional metro infrastructure
Water Roads
Time to operation
10+ years
12–18 months
Land acquisition
$3–4 billion
Not required
Government capital
Required at full project cost
$0 (privately funded)
Exit pathway
Stranded assets
Vessels redeployable
Fiscal risk to NSW
Irreversible commitment
Reversible pilot structure

Water Roads serves catchments where Sydney Metro extension is not economically viable. The comparison is not substitutive — Metro corridors and Water Roads corridors are different. The point is that the State can add five new transit corridors with zero capex, in 12–18 months, with the option to exit if the pilot does not perform.

NSW manufacturing and jobs

Three regional manufacturing sites. Partnerships with TAFE NSW and AMWU. Aligned with Future Made in Australia.

Newcastle (Hunter Region)

Deep Power battery integration and charging infrastructure assembly. Positions within the NSW Battery Industry Prospectus integration and service segment ($296M market by 2030) and battery pack assembly segment ($270M by 2030). 200–300 jobs in partnership with AMWU.

Nowra (Shoalhaven)

Composite vessel manufacturing and battery integration via Innovation Composites. Heads of Agreement signed. 200 regional jobs with TAFE NSW skills development partnership.

Sydney / Parramatta

Fleet management, route optimisation, and technology platform development. 150 jobs including Me Mel (Goat Island) Indigenous engagement hub.

Year 1

Import complete vessels

Year 2

Onshore assembly & integration

Year 3

Sovereign manufacturing capability

Founded with custodial consent

Water Roads was founded with custodial consent from the Gadigal and Wangal peoples — the Traditional Custodians of the lands and waters on which the pilot service operates. Custodial consent is a foundational condition of the company's existence, not a post-hoc commitment.

Me Mel (Goat Island)

Indigenous engagement hub

$500K

Annual Indigenous procurement target

20 jobs

Indigenous jobs by Year 2

1
Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics (November 2015)
Information Sheet 074: Traffic and congestion cost trends for Australian capital cities
Sydney FY15 estimate of $6.9B escalated on BITRE's own trajectory yields approximately $10–11B currently. BITRE has not published an updated whole-of-economy series since.
2
Transport for NSW
Household Travel Survey and Sydney Ferries patronage data
Mode share figure for harbour-adjacent CBD-bound commuter trips.
3
Hensher, D.A., Truong, T.P., Mulley, C. and Ellison, R. (2012)
Assessing the Wider Economy Impacts of transport infrastructure investment with an illustrative application to the North-West Rail Link project in Sydney, Australia
Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies, University of Sydney. Source of the 13.7%–17.6% WEB benchmark used in this page.
4
Glaunsinger, F. et al.
Life cycle assessment of the Candela P-12 electric hydrofoil ferry
KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm. Source of the 97.5% lifetime carbon reduction figure.
5
NSW Treasury (December 2024)
NSW Carbon Values
Prepared by Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu. Target-consistent carbon values aligned to NSW legislated emissions targets under the Net Zero Future Act 2023.
6
Transport for NSW (March 2016)
Principles and Guidelines for Economic Appraisal of Transport Investment and Initiatives (v1.7)
Foundational methodology document. Sections 2.3, 3.1.6, 3.1.7, 3.3.5, 5.3.1, 8.6, Appendix 4 and Appendix 12.
7
Transport for NSW (August 2024)
TfNSW Cost-Benefit Analysis Guide v5.1
Current operational guide for CBA across the NSW Transport cluster.
8
Transport for NSW (January 2025)
Transport for NSW Economic Parameter Values v2025.1
Values in June 2024 prices. Tables referenced: 2.1, 2.4, 3.3, 4.1, 6.1, 6.5, 11.6, 15.7.
9
NSW Treasury (TPG23-08)
Guide to Cost-Benefit Analysis
NSW Government Investment Framework. Mandates inclusion of carbon emission costs in CBA where material to NPV.
10
Broome, R.A., Cope, M.E., Goldsworthy, B. et al. (2015)
The mortality effect of ship-related fine particulate matter in the Sydney greater metropolitan region
Environment International, Vol 87, pp 85–93.

Get in touch

For partnership enquiries, investment discussions, or stakeholder briefings.

Water Roads Pty Ltd

Sarah Taylor, Chief Executive Officer

sarah@cbsaustralia.com.au

Sydney, Australia

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